CFL Western Division: Eskimos finally play some defense
Football Betting Lines
08/31/2010 - Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Week nine of the CFL season belonged to Alberta, as both Calgary and Edmonton found the win column. Calgary's victory was expected, but the Eskimos' three-point win over the Saskatchewan Roughriders was, quite possibly, the shocker of the season. Whether Edmonton has found its form remains to be seen, but it suddenly makes the West division more interesting heading into the classic Labor Day weekend showdown.
EDMONTON ESKIMOS
All signs pointed to a Saskatchewan blowout, but credit the Edmonton defense for its dominating performance in a 17-14 win. Everything clicked for the Esks, as the Riders failed to score a single point over the final three quarters. After a shaky first, Edmonton settled down and pressured Saskatchewan quarterback Darian Durant on seemingly every possession. Durant was picked off three times, and fumbled once against Edmonton's d-line wall. Ricky Ray started the game despite nursing a rib injury he suffered against Calgary on August 15th, but Jared Zabransky stepped into action in the second quarter. Ray returned late in the game and is expected to start again in Week 10. Edmonton doesn't have much time to enjoy its victory as it travels to face the league's best team in Calgary next.
Offensive key to the next game (Calgary Stampeders): The Eskimos will need to score more than 17 points to beat Calgary. More consistency at quarterback this week is the only shot Edmonton has for a second straight upset.
Defensive key to the next game: As good as Saskatchewan can be offensively, Calgary is at an even higher level. However, Edmonton's game plan should be the same - force the quarterback to scramble, and the Esks may see the wild side of Henry Burris rather than the calm and cool of recent weeks.
Look ahead: Edmonton fans looking at the future schedule must think their team is being punished severely for something. A home-and-home series with the Stamps followed by a road game in Montreal is not a pleasant thought. Needless to say, this stretch will determine Edmonton's chances of making the playoffs.
SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS
The first quarter of their week nine game against Edmonton was a microcosm of what the rest of the season has been like for the Riders: an entertaining and powerful start getting overshadowed by a lapse in quality of play. The Riders opened the season 3-0, but have gone 2-3 over the last five. Even in those two victories, Saskatchewan has not looked as promising as it did in its first game. Football is a team sport, so placing all the blame on one person isn't fair. However, the Riders have to be concerned about their chances to make it back to the Grey Cup when their quarterback, Durant, throws three interceptions and zero touchdowns against the league's worst defense. The Riders are fading, and fans of the Green Nation are growing restless. Playing prairie rival Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the Labor Day Classic may just be the remedy.
Offensive key to the next game (Winnipeg Blue Bombers): Durant obviously needs to be better and remains the key to victory, but the Riders would do well to keep trying running back Wes Cates. He leads all CFL players with nine touchdowns, including eight on the ground.
Defensive key to the next game: Running back Fred Reid is Winnipeg's most dangerous offensive weapon. Logic dictates he should be the focus, but instead the Riders should feast on the weakness of Winnipeg's passing game. You need to go to the air in the CFL to win, and if Steven Jyles can't produce at QB, Reid alone is not enough for the Bombers.
Look ahead: Two straight games against Winnipeg is always a cause for celebration among Saskatchewan fans, but the real game to celebrate takes place in two weeks time. A rematch against the Stampeders in Week 12 may turn out to be the most important game of the season.
CALGARY STAMPEDERS
Even when Calgary doesn't look good, it still finds a way to win easily. A 48-35 win over the BC Lions in week nine sounds impressive, but there is room for improvement in Cowtown. Quarterback Henry Burris did throw two touchdowns and ran one in for a major, but he also tossed three interceptions. On defense, the Stampeders had a rare bad day at the office when they allowed 35 points against the league's worst offense. More importantly, 15 of BC's points came in the fourth quarter, resulting in a final score that was much closer then it should have been. On the plus side, the Stamps did put up 499 yards of offense against just 266 for BC, showing the league that they don't have to be perfect to be the best.
Offensive key to the next game (Edmonton Eskimos): This home game will come down to whether the Stampeders' receiving corps can carry the load. Sure, Burris needs to be a little more cautious in his decisions, but it is not crucial given the difference in talent level between the Edmonton secondary and Calgary's receivers. Ken Yon Rambo is heating up, and Nik Lewis will be looking to rebound after a lackluster 25-yard performance in week nine..
Defensive key to the next game: The best defense is a good offense in this one: keep possession as long as possible, limit Edmonton's chances to find its rhythm, especially when Ricky Ray has yet to fully recover from injury.
Look ahead: Calgary faces nothing but West opponents for four straight weeks. Winning three all but ensures first-place in the West.
BC LIONS
The Lions no longer share the worst record in the league. Putting up 35 points against Calgary is a positive, but to utterly break down on defense and allow 48 is a new low in a season of lows. BC's inexperience on the o-line has received the most flak for the offensive woes, and deservedly so. But a close second has been the non-existence of any kind of running game. The Lions have averaged just 100 yards rushing per contest and only Montreal has averaged less, but since they have Anthony Calvillo and a well-oiled passing game, this is not as detrimental as it is for the Lions. In week nine, BC rushed for just 44 yards. While running backs can blame the lack of blocking of the line for not opening the holes, the backs themselves also need to shoulder some of the blame.
Offensive key to the next game (Montreal Alouettes): The Lions have to be perfect in all aspects of their game to have a hope of even competing. The most important? Giving kicker Paul McCallum a chance to kick field goals early and often. The kicker is the most accurate in the league this season, and while it seems silly to rely on a kicker to win a game, the Lions have to play a gritty, blue-collared and tightly-contested game if they want to complete the upset.
Defensive key to the next game: The Lions do have one outstanding turn of events they can capitalize on: Anthony Calvillo's absence. He is out with injury, leaving third-stringer Chris Leak to come in and try and fill the shoes of one of the CFL's best-ever quarterbacks. This is the Lions' best chance to beat the Als this season, and to do it, they must rock Leak whenever possible. Prevent Leak from getting confidence and the Lions have a legitimate shot.
Look ahead: BC's best chance of making the playoffs is to cross over to the East. Considering its next three games are against eastern opponents, the time is now for BC to make a move.
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Football Betting Lines
The 2009 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds have been released and Denver Broncos' running back Knowshon Moreno has been made the opening favorite.
Moreno was selected in the first round of April's NFL draft and is expected to carry the rushing load for the Broncos this season. And with Jay Cutler now in Chicago, Moreno might be expected to be Denver's entire offense.
Betting Lines from sports betting lines have made Moreno a 5/2 favorite to win this year's Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. Fellow running back Chris “Beanie” Wells (Arizona Cardinals) is right behind Moreno at 7/2, while Donald Brown (Indianapolis Colts) and receiver Michael Crabtree (San Francisco 49ers) are 5/1 to win. Quarterbacks Mark Sanchez (New York Jets) and Matthew Stafford (Detroit Lions) are 7/1 and 8/1, respectively.
A couple of players who present some value are Josh Freeman, Shonn Green and Darrius Heyward-Bey.
Freeman needs to beat out Byron Leftwich to become the starting quarterback of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but if he does, he has a lot or raw talent and could use the weapons around him (i.e. Kellen Winslow Jr. and Antonio Bryant) to be very successful in his first season.
Green enters a crowded backfield in New York, but considering both Thomas Jones and Leon Washington are unhappy about their contract situations and might holdout, the former Iowa product could become the Jets' primary back.
Everyone was shocked when Al Davis took Heyward-Bey with the eighth overall pick in April's draft, but the kid has a tremendous amount of talent and if quarterback JaMarcus Russell takes the next step this year, the former Maryland product could blossom. Plus, Heyward-Bey will be looking to prove the people wrong who said Oakland should have taken Michael Crabtree with the No. 8 pick.
And if you're looking for a deep sleeper, check out Pat White at 30/1. He enters the Miami Dolphins vaunted “Wild Cat” offense and could be a big time playmaker.
For complete odds on the 2009 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, see below.
2009 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds to Win
Ramses Barden (NYG) 40/1
Andre Brown (NYG) 20/1
Donald Brown (IND) 5/1
Kenny Britt (TEN) 20/1
Glenn Coffee (SFO) 30/1
Chase Coffman (CIN) 50/1
Michael Crabtree (SFO) 5/1
Josh Freeman (TB) 14/1
Shonn Green (NYJ) 14/1
Percy Harvin (MIN) 10/1
Darrius Heyward-Bay (OAK) 18/1
Juaquan Iglesias (CHI) 30/1
Cornelius Ingram (PHI) 50/1
Rashad Jennings (JAC) 30/1
Johnny Knox (CHI) 40/1
Jeremy Maclin (PHI) 18/1
Mohamed Massaquoi (CLE) 30/1
LeSean McCoy (PHI) 12/1
Knowshon Moreno (DEN) 5/2
Hakeem Nicks (NYG) 18/1
Brandon Pettigrew (DET) 30/1
Brian Robiskie (CLE) 20/1
Mark Sanchez (NYJ) 7/1
Matthew Stafford (DET) 8/1
Jason Smith (STL) 40/1
Mike Thomas (JAC) 25/1
Patrick Turner (MIA) 50/1
Mike Wallace (PIT) 50/1
Chris Wells (ARI) 7/2
Pat White (MIA) 30/1
Field (Any Other Player) 9/1
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Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
Visit MySportsbook.com for free sportsbook odds RSS feeds go to MySportsbook.com for all your betting football needs.